Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Danault 52.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tavares
Danault
Last 9: Tavares 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
52.4% (958)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
62.0% (71)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
47.6% (187)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
59.7% (610)
51.2% (605)
Away
57.0% (698)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
57.2%
53.1%
P2
58.5%
49.8%
P3
59.4%
54.3%
OT
46.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |