Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Danault 54.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Danault
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
56.5% (711)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
46.0% (50)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
51.7% (116)
+6.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
57.8% (614)
57.0% (379)
Away
57.8% (554)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
58.0%
55.8%
P2
56.9%
55.3%
P3
58.4%
54.8%
OT
57.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |