Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Tavares wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Danault 52.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
14
(35 meetings)
21
14
Tavares
Danault
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
3
Tavares
Danault
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
7
Tavares
Danault
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
4
Tavares
Danault
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
55.1% (720)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
50.0% (20)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
41.3% (167)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
57.9% (404)
54.5% (442)
Away
52.9% (448)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
54.2%
53.8%
P2
55.1%
54.2%
P3
56.4%
49.8%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |