Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Greig 44.5% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 64.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Tavares
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tavares
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Tavares
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
38.8% (103)
+18.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
60.0% (5)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
0.0% (1)
+59.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Tavares
Greig
Home
61.0% (661)
37.7% (53)
Away
55.3% (584)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Tavares
Greig
P1
58.6%
41.7%
P2
57.8%
39.3%
P3
58.4%
37.8%
Final 5 min
63.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |