Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Greig 53.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 64.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Tavares
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
53.6% (280)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
61.3% (31)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
56.5% (69)
-0.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Tavares
Greig
Home
59.7% (610)
56.2% (185)
Away
57.0% (698)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Tavares
Greig
P1
57.2%
52.8%
P2
58.5%
51.6%
P3
59.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |