Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 74.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Tavares
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
53.1% (113)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
100.0% (1)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
60.0% (10)
-0.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Tavares
Carpenter
Home
61.0% (661)
58.5% (65)
Away
55.3% (584)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Tavares
Carpenter
P1
58.6%
65.8%
P2
57.8%
50.0%
P3
58.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
63.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%