Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Hartman 43.6% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 63.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Tavares
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
42.4% (618)
+16.6%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
45.9% (61)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
40.0% (15)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Tavares shoots left. Hartman is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hartman
Home
58.0% (500)
41.9% (372)
Away
59.7% (375)
43.5% (322)
By Period
Tavares
Hartman
P1
59.5%
41.3%
P2
58.5%
40.8%
P3
58.2%
45.5%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%