Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hartman 44.0% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 64.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Tavares
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Tavares
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
42.6% (495)
+14.9%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
38.5% (26)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
48.8% (43)
+10.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hartman
Home
61.0% (661)
43.4% (288)
Away
55.3% (584)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Tavares
Hartman
P1
58.6%
43.1%
P2
57.8%
43.4%
P3
58.4%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |