Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hartman 48.1% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Tavares
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
48.1% (520)
+9.6%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
44.7% (47)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
47.8% (23)
+8.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hartman
Home
59.7% (610)
48.3% (360)
Away
57.0% (698)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Tavares
Hartman
P1
57.2%
48.5%
P2
58.5%
45.2%
P3
59.4%
49.6%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%