Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 85.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Tavares
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Tavares
Hartman
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
44.8% (936)
+16.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
49.4% (154)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
33.3% (54)
+14.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hartman
Home
63.5% (684)
47.4% (568)
Away
57.6% (658)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Tavares
Hartman
P1
60.3%
47.2%
P2
60.4%
43.4%
P3
60.1%
43.8%
OT
92.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 00:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |