Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Poehling 46.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 59.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Tavares
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tavares
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
46.5% (269)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
66.7% (3)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
42.4% (139)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Tavares
Poehling
Home
61.0% (661)
45.2% (177)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Tavares
Poehling
P1
58.6%
47.7%
P2
57.8%
44.4%
P3
58.4%
44.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |