Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +27.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Gagner 43.8% (+27.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Tavares
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
31.0% (29)
+26.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
29.4% (17)
+31.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gagner
Home
61.0% (661)
36.8% (19)
Away
55.3% (584)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Tavares
Gagner
P1
58.6%
27.8%
P2
57.8%
15.4%
P3
58.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
63.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |