Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 90.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Tavares
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
10
(32 meetings)
22
10
Tavares
Gagner
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
5
Tavares
Gagner
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
4
Tavares
Gagner
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
51.5% (928)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
35.0% (226)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gagner
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Tavares
Gagner
P1
55.0%
44.6%
P2
54.1%
46.1%
P3
54.1%
47.3%
OT
55.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |