Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Gagner 52.4% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Tavares
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
76.5% (17)
-17.3%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
28.6% (7)
+31.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gagner
Home
57.5% (668)
75.0% (16)
Away
61.1% (684)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Tavares
Gagner
P1
58.0%
25.0%
P2
60.1%
64.3%
P3
61.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%