Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 68.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 58.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Tavares
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Tavares
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
50.7% (144)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
50.0% (2)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
50.0% (10)
+6.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
59.7% (610)
53.2% (62)
Away
57.0% (698)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
57.2%
53.3%
P2
58.5%
46.7%
P3
59.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%