Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 59.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 56.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tavares
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
52.4% (42)
+5.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lafferty
Home
57.8% (614)
47.8% (23)
Away
57.8% (554)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Tavares
Lafferty
P1
58.0%
53.3%
P2
56.9%
55.6%
P3
58.4%
47.1%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%