Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Steel 49.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Tavares
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
49.3% (383)
+11.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
59.1% (22)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
14.3% (7)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Tavares
Steel
Home
63.5% (684)
49.4% (180)
Away
57.6% (658)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Tavares
Steel
P1
60.3%
51.9%
P2
60.4%
43.8%
P3
60.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |