Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Steel 52.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Tavares
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tavares
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
56.9% (320)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
71.4% (7)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
37.0% (73)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Tavares
Steel
Home
59.7% (610)
55.9% (202)
Away
57.0% (698)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Tavares
Steel
P1
57.2%
55.5%
P2
58.5%
55.1%
P3
59.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |