Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Tavares
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Tavares
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
55.3% (515)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
55.6% (9)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
44.8% (58)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kuraly
Home
59.7% (610)
57.3% (293)
Away
57.0% (698)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Tavares
Kuraly
P1
57.2%
53.8%
P2
58.5%
51.5%
P3
59.4%
57.6%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |