Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.4% vs Stamkos 46.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 76.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 60.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Tavares
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tavares
Stamkos
Last 5: Tavares 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Tavares
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Tavares
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (992)
46.0% (767)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.7% (294)
50.0% (126)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
46.2% (26)
+3.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tavares is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Tavares shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stamkos
Home
51.7% (679)
49.7% (441)
Away
53.4% (640)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Tavares
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
43.7%
P2
49.3%
50.2%
P3
56.3%
45.1%
OT
57.1%
46.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |