Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Stützle 40.1% (+22.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 79.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Tavares
Stützle
Last 8: Tavares 8-0 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
37.3% (458)
+23.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
100.0% (3)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (12)
-2.4%
On power play, Stützle has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
63.5% (684)
42.8% (229)
Away
57.6% (658)
33.6% (244)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
60.3%
41.8%
P2
60.4%
39.0%
P3
60.1%
33.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |