Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Stützle 52.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
53.0% (485)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
55.2% (58)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
56.7% (30)
+1.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
57.8% (614)
52.5% (282)
Away
57.8% (554)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
58.0%
52.1%
P2
56.9%
56.2%
P3
58.4%
52.0%
OT
57.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |