Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Stützle 43.0% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.7%
Defensive zone
Stützle 58.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Tavares
Stützle
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Stützle
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Tavares
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Tavares
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
42.7% (457)
+14.8%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
20.0% (5)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
25.0% (24)
+34.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
61.0% (661)
43.1% (253)
Away
55.3% (584)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
58.6%
44.9%
P2
57.8%
43.9%
P3
58.4%
35.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |