Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Stützle 45.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-7 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
7
(37 meetings)
30
7
Tavares
Stützle
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
3
Tavares
Stützle
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
2
Tavares
Stützle
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
2
Tavares
Stützle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.1% (2,292)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.4% (101)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.7% (86)
+2.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
56.1% (10,503)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
55.0%
47.1%
P2
54.1%
45.4%
P3
54.1%
44.1%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |