Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Novak 46.5% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Tavares
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
43.2% (118)
+17.7%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
47.8% (23)
+12.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Tavares
Novak
Home
63.5% (684)
50.7% (71)
Away
57.6% (658)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Tavares
Novak
P1
60.3%
44.7%
P2
60.4%
50.0%
P3
60.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |