Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 74.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Tavares
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
53.2% (201)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
60.0% (25)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
44.4% (9)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
58.0% (500)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.7% (375)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
59.5%
44.3%
P2
58.5%
52.1%
P3
58.2%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%