Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 78.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Tavares
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Seguin
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
55.0% (713)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
56.7% (104)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
47.2% (53)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
61.0% (661)
56.2% (443)
Away
55.3% (584)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
58.6%
54.2%
P2
57.8%
52.9%
P3
58.4%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |