Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Tavares
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tavares
Seguin
Last 7: Tavares 4-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Tavares
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
56.5% (712)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
59.7% (67)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
44.9% (49)
+2.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
63.5% (684)
58.5% (402)
Away
57.6% (658)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
60.3%
58.4%
P2
60.4%
54.7%
P3
60.1%
54.1%
OT
92.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |