Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Seguin 51.8% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tavares
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
54.8% (135)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
58.3% (24)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
26.7% (15)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Tavares
Seguin
Home
59.7% (610)
47.4% (95)
Away
57.0% (698)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Tavares
Seguin
P1
57.2%
50.8%
P2
58.5%
57.1%
P3
59.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%