Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Trocheck 48.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 74.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Tavares
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Trocheck
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Tavares
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
48.4% (446)
+4.0%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
56.7% (30)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
20.0% (5)
+38.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
56.5% (731)
55.5% (238)
Away
47.8% (711)
42.0% (243)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
56.1%
50.0%
P2
50.3%
44.0%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |