Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Tavares
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Tavares
Trocheck
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
9
Tavares
Trocheck
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
4
Tavares
Trocheck
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
4
Tavares
Trocheck
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
59.6% (1,032)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
62.1% (253)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
55.4% (249)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
59.7% (610)
61.7% (786)
Away
57.0% (698)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
57.2%
61.7%
P2
58.5%
58.8%
P3
59.4%
57.6%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |