Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Trocheck 55.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 62.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Tavares
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tavares
Trocheck
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Tavares
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
55.0% (956)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
59.8% (266)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
56.3% (64)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
61.0% (661)
57.7% (673)
Away
55.3% (584)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
58.6%
55.4%
P2
57.8%
55.6%
P3
58.4%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |