Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Trocheck 54.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tavares
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Tavares
Trocheck
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
1
Tavares
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
7
Tavares
Trocheck
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
54.3% (955)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
64.6% (96)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
51.0% (194)
-3.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
63.5% (684)
58.3% (604)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
60.3%
53.9%
P2
60.4%
55.7%
P3
60.1%
54.3%
OT
92.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |