Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Trocheck 56.0% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 68.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Tavares
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
57.8% (626)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
63.6% (151)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.0% (141)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
57.8% (614)
54.4% (390)
Away
57.8% (554)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
58.0%
56.4%
P2
56.9%
58.7%
P3
58.4%
54.8%
OT
57.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%