Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 72.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 79.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Drouin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
57.0% (718)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
64.9% (188)
-12.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hertl
Home
57.9% (57)
59.2% (463)
Away
39.3% (28)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Drouin
Hertl
P1
61.8%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
36.8%
60.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%