Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Hertl 57.2% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.0%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Drouin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
58.1% (823)
-10.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
56.2% (265)
+0.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hertl
Home
49.5% (97)
59.7% (561)
Away
49.2% (128)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Drouin
Hertl
P1
52.1%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
63.8%
P3
45.0%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%