Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 64.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 64.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Drouin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drouin
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Drouin
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
56.5% (712)
-8.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
59.7% (67)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.9% (49)
-44.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Drouin
Seguin
Home
45.8% (24)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.6% (42)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Drouin
Seguin
P1
46.2%
58.4%
P2
43.5%
54.7%
P3
52.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |