Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 67.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 63.3%
Neutral zone
Drouin 51.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Drouin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drouin
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Drouin
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
53.2% (201)
-5.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
60.0% (25)
-3.2%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Drouin shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Drouin
Seguin
Home
49.5% (97)
56.3% (126)
Away
49.2% (128)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Drouin
Seguin
P1
52.1%
44.3%
P2
51.5%
52.1%
P3
45.0%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |