Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 64.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.6%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Drouin
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
55.0% (713)
-9.9%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
56.7% (104)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
47.2% (53)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Drouin shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Drouin
Seguin
Home
37.5% (160)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.5% (220)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Drouin
Seguin
P1
40.3%
54.2%
P2
43.3%
52.9%
P3
49.6%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%