Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 57.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 88.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 71.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Drouin
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Drouin
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
56.9% (478)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.4% (54)
-5.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drouin is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Drouin shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Drouin
Seguin
Home
57.9% (57)
57.4% (317)
Away
39.3% (28)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Drouin
Seguin
P1
61.8%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
36.8%
58.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |