Who wins more faceoffs, Jonathan Marchessault or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 6-3 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Jonathan Marchessault's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Jonathan Marchessault is 3-6 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-2, Defensive 0-4, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jonathan Marchessault or Ryan O'Reilly?

Jonathan Marchessault is the predicted winner with a 58.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jonathan MarchessaultR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Marchessault wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchessault 46.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-12.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Marchessault 81.3%

Defensive zone O'Reilly 66.7%

Neutral zone Marchessault 66.4%

Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 58.3%

58.3%

41.7%

Marchessault O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 6 (9 meetings)

Marchessault O'Reilly

Last 9: Marchessault 3-6 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Marchessault O'Reilly

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Marchessault O'Reilly

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Marchessault O'Reilly

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Marchessault

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

47.5% (181)

57.9% (1,179)

-10.4%

Power Play

39.5% (86)

63.0% (292)

-23.5%

Penalty Kill

66.7% (3)

53.8% (320)

+12.9%

On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).

Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).

Home / Away

Marchessault

O'Reilly

Home

48.5% (136)

61.3% (884)

Away

41.8% (134)

54.8% (907)

By Period

Marchessault

O'Reilly

54.8%

55.5%

43.9%

61.0%

39.1%

56.8%

42.9%

67.7%

Final 5 min

47.4%

55.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Marchessault

32.0%▬

32.0%

45.2%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

58.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 8, 2017	3	17:32	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Apr 8, 2017	2	16:41	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 27, 2017	3	19:17	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 27, 2017	3	18:36	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 27, 2017	3	00:00	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Mar 27, 2017	2	19:27	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 29, 2016	3	02:03	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Oct 29, 2016	2	08:23	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 29, 2016	1	04:10	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly

Marchessault's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile