Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 76.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.7%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 70.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Marchessault
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (93)
56.6% (1,064)
-12.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.4% (260)
-31.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Home
46.2% (65)
54.9% (801)
Away
37.1% (35)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Marchessault
O'Reilly
P1
43.2%
58.0%
P2
44.7%
56.7%
P3
40.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |