Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +28.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-28.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Marchessault
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (20)
55.0% (1,084)
-35.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Home
7.1% (14)
54.8% (759)
Away
50.0% (10)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Marchessault
O'Reilly
P1
20.0%
55.3%
P2
40.0%
51.9%
P3
25.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%