Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +30.3% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 40.1% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-30.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Marchessault
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
25.4% (63)
56.2% (983)
-30.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.5% (254)
-30.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Marchessault shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Marchessault
O'Reilly
Home
30.0% (30)
56.2% (697)
Away
21.6% (37)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Marchessault
O'Reilly
P1
15.6%
54.5%
P2
34.6%
55.5%
P3
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%