Jonathan Marchessault vs Tomas Hertl
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 72.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.7%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 62.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Marchessault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (93)
51.6% (1,084)
-7.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.0% (246)
-32.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Marchessault is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Marchessault shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Hertl
Home
46.2% (65)
55.2% (696)
Away
37.1% (35)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Marchessault
Hertl
P1
43.2%
55.4%
P2
44.7%
54.8%
P3
40.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
62.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |