Jonathan Marchessault vs Tomas Hertl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +30.5% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 40.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-30.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.8%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.6%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Marchessault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
25.4% (63)
54.1% (717)
-28.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.9% (210)
-36.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Marchessault shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Hertl
Home
30.0% (30)
58.1% (492)
Away
21.6% (37)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Marchessault
Hertl
P1
15.6%
57.1%
P2
34.6%
54.0%
P3
33.3%
56.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |