Jonathan Marchessault vs Tomas Hertl
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +32.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.2% vs Hertl 56.8% (-32.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 59.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.1%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Marchessault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Marchessault
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (20)
57.0% (718)
-37.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Marchessault is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Marchessault shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Hertl
Home
7.1% (14)
59.2% (463)
Away
50.0% (10)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Marchessault
Hertl
P1
20.0%
56.3%
P2
40.0%
55.4%
P3
25.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |