Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Toews 56.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Tavares
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tavares
Toews
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Tavares
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Tavares
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
56.5% (1,310)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
59.7% (325)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
51.0% (245)
+2.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Tavares
Toews
Home
57.5% (762)
56.6% (927)
Away
51.4% (766)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Tavares
Toews
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
53.2%
55.8%
P3
55.5%
57.3%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |