Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+13.8%)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Toews
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
49.2% (307)
+11.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
66.7% (6)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
48.2% (56)
+11.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Toews
Carrick
Home
64.8% (560)
50.3% (175)
Away
60.6% (381)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Toews
Carrick
P1
62.3%
41.0%
P2
63.9%
51.2%
P3
62.8%
55.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%