Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Carrick 53.8% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Toews
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
55.1% (439)
+7.4%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
66.7% (3)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
49.1% (53)
-2.2%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Toews
Carrick
Home
60.9% (435)
58.2% (225)
Away
62.0% (434)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Toews
Carrick
P1
59.8%
56.7%
P2
65.7%
52.8%
P3
58.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%